As the 2025 Kentucky Derby approaches, all eyes are on the latest odds and the horses that are beginning to show serious promise for the prestigious race at Churchill Downs on May 3. With just days to go before the official post draw on April 26, the excitement is palpable, and the betting markets are starting to shape up. Heres an indepth look at the key horses and the odds that are currently defining this years Run for the Roses.
A Glimpse at the Betting Favorites
As of today, Journalism 31 is widely regarded as the favorite heading into the Kentucky Derby. This 3yearold colt, trained by Michael McCarthy, is coming off an impressive victory in the Santa Anita Derby on April 5, showcasing a perfect blend of speed and stamina. The horses pedigree, which boasts both Curlin and Mopotism, further adds to its appeal, making it a top contender for the crown.
Not far behind is Sandman 81, a horse that has been consistently strong throughout the season, with a record of 3 wins, 1 second, and 2 thirdplace finishes from 8 starts. Sandman impressed many with his victory in the Arkansas Derby, though some experts, like Gene Menez, suggest that the colt benefited from a favorable pace meltdown in that race, which might have inflated his performance.
Sovereignty, another 81 shot, comes into the Derby with a solid win at the Fountain of Youth Stakes, a race that has historically produced strong contenders. Trained by Mark Casse, Sovereigntys form in the leadup to the Derby shows promise, though it will need to prove itself against tougher competition at Churchill Downs.
Other Strong Contenders
In addition to the top three favorites, several other horses are catching attention as serious contenders for the 2025 Kentucky Derby. Rodriguez 101, the winner of the Wood Memorial, is another horse that bettors are keeping a close eye on. This colt, trained by Chad Brown, has shown the ability to handle different race conditions, which will be vital at Churchill Downs, where the track can vary based on weather conditions.
Tappan Street 101, coming off a Florida Derby victory, has been steadily improving and should be a strong player in the field. Tappan Streets ability to rally in the final stretch could make it a dangerous contender if the pace suits its running style.
Other notable horses include Burnham Square 151 and Luxor Cafe 151, both of which have shown flashes of brilliance but will need to step up their game significantly to challenge for the win.
Longshots and Wild Cards
The Kentucky Derby is known for its surprises, and while the favorites may dominate the headlines, there are always a few horses that defy the odds. Horses like Final Gambit, Publisher, and Flying Mohawk, each priced at 301, are longshots that could potentially pull off an upset. Their chances may seem slim at the moment, but the unpredictability of the Derby means that anything can happen, and a late surge from any of these horses could send shockwaves through the betting world.
Insights and Predictions
As the Derby gets closer, expert opinions are beginning to solidify around the frontrunners. SportsLine horse racing expert Gene Menez, who correctly predicted several Derby outcomes in the past, has identified Journalism as his top pick, citing the colts impressive form and pedigree. However, Menez also cautions against underestimating the value of horses like Rodriguez and Sovereignty, which could offer better value given their odds and recent performances.
For bettors, this years Kentucky Derby presents a wide range of opportunities. Whether youre backing the favorite or looking for a longshot to surprise, there are plenty of compelling options to consider. As always, the final post draw on April 26 will be crucial, as it will determine the horses positions on the starting linea factor that can play a significant role in the outcome of the race.
With only a week left until the official draw, its clear that the 2025 Kentucky Derby is shaping up to be an exciting event. Whether youre a seasoned horse racing enthusiast or a casual observer, all eyes will be on Churchill Downs as the horses line up for one of the most thrilling events in sports.